SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City preview
In the China Super League fixture, SHANGHAI SIPG has a 50% chance to win against Chengdu Better City, who have a 26% chance. The expected goals for SHANGHAI SIPG are 1.80, while Chengdu Better City sits at 0.94. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 11% probability.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 52%. SHANGHAI SIPG's recent form shows 4 wins and 2 draws, while Chengdu Better City has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. A draw or an unexpected performance from Chengdu could change the outcome.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City: model vs market
| Source | SHANGHAI SIPG | Draw | Chengdu Better City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 26% |
| Edge | +10% | +1% | -11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices SHANGHAI SIPG below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SHANGHAI SIPG, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.95 | 1.98 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.83 | -0.02 |
| Chengdu Better City | 3.28 | 3.20 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (SHANGHAI SIPG / Chengdu Better City)
- 1.08 / 0.87
- Defence rating (SHANGHAI SIPG / Chengdu Better City)
- 0.79 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SHANGHAI SIPG goals. Columns: Chengdu Better City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Chengdu Better City | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Chengdu Better City) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | SHANGHAI SIPG win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG and Chengdu Better City recent form
SHANGHAI SIPG
4W 2D 0L
Chengdu Better City
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SHANGHAI SIPG at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Chengdu Better City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-2
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SHANGHAI SIPG at home only, Chengdu Better City away only.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SHANGHAI SIPG 4 · draws 1 · Chengdu Better City 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Chengdu Better City | 0-1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League |
| 2025-08-30 | Chengdu Better City | 4-1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | China Super League |
| 2025-04-20 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1-3 | Chengdu Better City | China Super League |
| 2024-10-18 | Chengdu Better City | 3-1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| 2024-05-22 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 2-0 | Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| 2023-09-23 | Chengdu Better City | 2-1 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| 2023-06-03 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 0-1 | Chengdu Better City | Super League |
| 2023-01-08 | Chengdu Better City | 0-4 | SHANGHAI SIPG | FA Cup |
| 2023-01-05 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 4-0 | Chengdu Better City | FA Cup |
| 2022-12-10 | Chengdu Better City | 0-0 | SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- SHANGHAI SIPG, previous: Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG: odds and pick
- SHANGHAI SIPG, next: Tianjin Teda v SHANGHAI SIPG analysis
- Chengdu Better City, previous: Chengdu Better City – Tianjin Teda, 2026-10-10
- Chengdu Better City, next: Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing prediction