Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua preview
Wuhan Three Towns face Shanghai Shenhua with a 32% chance of winning compared to 45% for Shanghai Shenhua. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs 7% of the time according to our model. Both teams have shown recent form that suggests a competitive match, with Wuhan Three Towns recording 3 draws and 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Shanghai Shenhua has 4 wins in their last 6.
The model predicts a high-scoring game, with an 79% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty around these predictions. Factors like unexpected player performances or tactical changes could influence the outcome.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua: model vs market
| Source | Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 21% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 41% |
| Published | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| Edge | +3% | -2% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Shanghai Shenhua, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3.00 | 2.62 | -0.38 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 3.92 | -0.17 |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.95 | 2.23 | +0.28 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.20
- Attack rating (Wuhan Three Towns / Shanghai Shenhua)
- 0.99 / 1.56
- Defence rating (Wuhan Three Towns / Shanghai Shenhua)
- 0.99 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wuhan Three Towns goals. Columns: Shanghai Shenhua goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wuhan Three Towns | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.29 |
| No | 22% | 4.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wuhan Three Towns or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Shanghai Shenhua) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win by 2+ | 23% | 4.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Shenhua recent form
Wuhan Three Towns
1W 4D 1L
Shanghai Shenhua
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wuhan Three Towns at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shanghai Shenhua away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-4
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wuhan Three Towns at home only, Shanghai Shenhua away only.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Wuhan Three Towns 2 · draws 3 · Shanghai Shenhua 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League |
| 2025-08-31 | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League |
| 2025-04-19 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-0 | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League |
| 2024-07-29 | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-2 | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| 2024-04-09 | Shanghai Shenhua | 4-1 | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| 2023-08-13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-2 | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| 2023-05-13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| 2022-07-03 | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-2 | Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| 2022-06-12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Henan Jianye v Tianjin Teda — match page 2026-10-16
- Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban 2026-10-17
- Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — match page 2026-10-17
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island — match page 2026-10-18
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Wuhan Three Towns, previous: Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns prediction
- Wuhan Three Towns, next: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng: odds and pick
- Shanghai Shenhua, previous: Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun prediction
- Shanghai Shenhua, next: Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua analysis