Updated

Primera A · Clausura - 14

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali

· Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira· Referee Jonnathan Ortiz

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was Deportivo Cali to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Deportivo PereiraDrawDeportivo Cali

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDeportivo PereiraDrawDeportivo Cali
Model12%26%62%
Market20%26%54%
Published18%26%56%
Edge-2%0%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Cali, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.76Now 1.70 -0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Deportivo Pereira4.444.64+0.21
Draw3.573.60+0.03
Deportivo Cali1.761.70-0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.60Deportivo Pereira
1.66Deportivo Cali
Total expected goals
2.27
Attack rating (Deportivo Pereira / Deportivo Cali)
0.63 / 1.31
Defence rating (Deportivo Pereira / Deportivo Cali)
1.28 / 0.68

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.4% 16.2% 14.3% 7.9% 4.8% 1 5.2% 11.5% 8.7% 4.8% 2.9% 2 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.9% 3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Deportivo Pereira goals. Columns: Deportivo Cali goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
38%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Deportivo Pereira18%5.57
Draw26%3.89
Deportivo Cali56%1.78
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.53
Under 2.561%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes38%2.65
No62%1.61
Double chance1X (Deportivo Pereira or draw)44%2.29
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Deportivo Cali)82%1.22
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win by 2+36%2.81
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali recent form

Deportivo Pereira 0W 3D 3L
Deportivo Cali 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Deportivo Pereira at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-6-7
Win rate
7%
Goals for / match
0.86
Goals against / match
1.57
Clean sheets
4 of 14
  • They have won 2 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali away

Record (W-D-L)
5-3-7
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
4 of 15
  • They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Pereira at home only, Deportivo Cali away only.

Expected lineups

Deportivo Pereira lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 Yimy Gómez
  2. 23 T. Bovone
  3. 15 S. Aguilar
  4. 3 N. Rengifo
  5. 21 W. Pacheco
  6. 19 M. Aguirre
  7. 37 L. Moreno
  8. 10 S. Acosta
  9. 20 J. Monroy
  10. 18 M. Pérez
  11. 11 J. Largacha

Bench: Á. Plata, J. Betancourth, Ederson Moreno, Eber Moreno, M. Palacios, F. Delgado, J. Morales, M. Diaz

Deportivo Cali lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 38 A. Rodríguez
  2. 28 E. Velasco
  3. 4 Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador
  4. 2 J. Moya
  5. 27 F. Viáfara
  6. 8 D. Giraldo
  7. 15 L. Chaverra
  8. 20 E. Bello
  9. 10 E. Reynoso
  10. 19 J. Martínez
  11. 9 J. Dinenno

Bench: J. Caldera, A. Castillo Manyoma, K. Sandoval, N. Benedetti, S. Rodríguez, J. Tello, S. Alzate Uribe, Santiago Martinez, C. Bacca

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 5 · draws 1 · Deportivo Cali 4.

Deportivo PereiraDrawsDeportivo Cali
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-29Deportivo Cali1-0Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
2025-10-04Deportivo Cali1-0Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
2025-04-15Deportivo Pereira2-0Deportivo CaliPrimera A
2024-07-17Deportivo Cali0-2Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
2024-01-20Deportivo Pereira2-2Deportivo CaliPrimera A
2023-07-18Deportivo Pereira0-2Deportivo CaliPrimera A
2023-03-01Deportivo Cali0-1Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
2022-07-25Deportivo Pereira2-1Deportivo CaliPrimera A
2022-02-03Deportivo Cali1-0Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
2021-12-16Deportivo Pereira1-0Deportivo CaliPrimera A

Other Clausura - 14 fixtures

Before and after this match