Updated

FNL · Matchday 11

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko

· Stadium Viktoria Zizkov, Prague· Referee R. Zurek

Full time2 – 2

Alin prediction was Viktoria Žižkov to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Viktoria ŽižkovDrawTáborsko

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceViktoria ŽižkovDrawTáborsko
Model44%27%29%
Market43%27%30%
Published43%27%30%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.26.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Viktoria Žižkov, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-14.

Opened 2.07Now 2.10 +0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Viktoria Žižkov2.072.10+0.04
Draw3.423.35-0.07
Táborsko3.003.00+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Viktoria Žižkov and Táborsko expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.59Viktoria Žižkov
1.26Táborsko
Total expected goals
2.85
Attack rating (Viktoria Žižkov / Táborsko)
0.88 / 0.85
Defence rating (Viktoria Žižkov / Táborsko)
1.20 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.0% 6.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8% 1 8.1% 12.8% 7.3% 3.1% 1.3% 2 7.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 1.0% 3 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 4+ 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Viktoria Žižkov goals. Columns: Táborsko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Viktoria Žižkov43%2.32
Draw27%3.71
Táborsko30%3.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.85
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.72
No42%2.39
Double chance1X (Viktoria Žižkov or draw)70%1.43
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Táborsko)57%1.76
Handicap -1Viktoria Žižkov win by 2+23%4.34
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Viktoria Žižkov and Táborsko recent form

Viktoria Žižkov 3W 1D 2L
Táborsko 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Viktoria Žižkov at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Táborsko away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Viktoria Žižkov at home only, Táborsko away only.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Táborsko head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Viktoria Žižkov 6 · draws 1 · Táborsko 3.

Viktoria ŽižkovDrawsTáborsko
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-03Viktoria Žižkov3-1TáborskoFNL
2025-10-04Táborsko6-1Viktoria ŽižkovFNL
2025-03-29Táborsko0-1Viktoria ŽižkovFNL
2025-02-01Viktoria Žižkov3-1TáborskoFriendlies Clubs
2024-08-18Viktoria Žižkov3-1TáborskoFNL
2024-04-17Táborsko5-0Viktoria ŽižkovFNL
2023-09-17Viktoria Žižkov4-1TáborskoFNL
2022-05-11Táborsko1-0Viktoria ŽižkovFNL
2021-11-21Viktoria Žižkov0-0TáborskoFNL
2021-06-30Viktoria Žižkov2-0TáborskoFriendlies Clubs

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match