Wrexham vs West Brom Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

Wrexham vs West Brom: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Wrexham	Draw	West Brom
Model	29%	31%	39%
Market	41%	28%	31%
Published	38%	29%	33%
Edge	-3%	+1%	+2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Wrexham vs West Brom odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Wrexham, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-07.

Opened 2.38Now 2.30 -0.08

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Wrexham	2.38	2.30	-0.08
Draw	3.25	3.29	+0.04
West Brom	2.87	3.05	+0.18

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Wrexham and West Brom expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Wrexham

1.22West Brom

Total expected goals: 2.25
Attack rating (Wrexham / West Brom): 0.86 / 0.92
Defence rating (Wrexham / West Brom): 1.11 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Wrexham vs West Brom score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.9% 11.6% 7.9% 3.2% 1.3% 1 9.5% 14.6% 8.1% 3.3% 1.3% 2 5.5% 6.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Wrexham goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Wrexham vs West Brom goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%

Over 1.5 67%

Over 2.5 39%

Over 3.5 19%

Both teams to score: 47%
No goals (0–0): 12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Wrexham vs West Brom

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Wrexham	38%	2.64
	Draw	29%	3.43
	West Brom	33%	3.04
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	39%	2.56
	Under 2.5	61%	1.64
Both teams to score	Yes	47%	2.15
	No	53%	1.87
Double chance	1X (Wrexham or draw)	67%	1.49
	12 (either side)	71%	1.41
	X2 (draw or West Brom)	62%	1.61
Handicap -1	Wrexham win by 2+	12%	8.65
	Push (exactly one goal)	18%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Wrexham and West Brom recent form

Wrexham 2W 3D 1L

West Brom 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Wrexham at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-2-1
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 1.25
Goals against / match: 1.25
Clean sheets: 0 of 4

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

West Brom away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-2
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 1.25
Clean sheets: 1 of 4

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Wrexham at home only, West Brom away only.

Injuries & availability

Wrexham absences

B. Sheaf injury
C. Doyle knock
G. Thomason thigh injury
L. Cacace calf injury
M. Cleworth muscle injury
M. James back injury
N. Broadhead thigh injury
S. Revan hamstring injury

West Brom absences

M. Johnston broken leg
N. Galves knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Wrexham lineup · 3-4-2-1

22 A. Patterson
2 C. Doyle
5 D. Hyam
26 Z. Vyner
3 J. Ekomié
8 B. Whiteman
15 G. Dobson
12 I. Kaboré
17 C. O'Hare
20 O. Rathbone
19 K. Moore

Bench: J. Worrall, B. Cadamarteri, D. Ward, L. O'Brien, S. Smith, Daniel Edward Peter Imray, A. James, R. Longman

West Brom lineup · 4-4-2

1 M. O’Leary
4 C. Styles
6 G. Campbell
18 B. Pereira
2 C. Mepham
21 I. Price
8 J. Molumby
20 R. Nzingoula
29 Harry Whitwell
15 Tobias Christopher Collyer
9 B. Stewart

Bench: N. Phillips, F. Myhre, J. Morgan, M. Ingram, O. Diakité, A. Heggebø, C. Townsend, T. Bany, M. Crowther

Wrexham vs West Brom head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Wrexham 0 · draws 1 · West Brom 1.

0% 50% 50%

WrexhamDrawsWest Brom

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-04-03	West Brom	2-2	Wrexham	England Championship
2025-08-16	Wrexham	2-3	West Brom	England Championship

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Birmingham vs Preston 2026-10-13
Stoke City v Middlesbrough — match page 2026-10-13
Norwich vs Southampton — team news & stats 2026-10-14

Before and after this match

Wrexham, next: Wrexham vs Preston prediction
West Brom, next: West Brom vs Blackburn prediction