Peterborough vs Reading

Peterborough vs Reading: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.89.
• Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
• The market prices Reading below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Peterborough vs Reading odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Reading, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-06.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Peterborough and Reading expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

2.37

Attack rating (Peterborough / Reading)

0.73 / 0.91

Defence rating (Peterborough / Reading)

1.10 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Peterborough vs Reading score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Peterborough goals. Columns: Reading goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Peterborough vs Reading goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

47%

No goals (0–0)

11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Peterborough and Reading recent form

Peterborough LLDLDW 1W 2D 3L

Reading LDWWLW 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Expected lineups