Walsall vs Salford City preview
Walsall faces Salford City with a 29% chance of winning compared to Salford's 44%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Salford's recent form of 6 wins in a row. Walsall's expected goals stand at 1.17, while Salford's is lower at 0.94, indicating a potential struggle for Walsall to find the net.
While both teams to score has a probability of 43%, the lower expected goals for Salford could impact this outcome. Additionally, Walsall's recent form shows 4 draws in their last 6 matches, which could lead to a tight game. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the final result.
Walsall vs Salford City: model vs market
| Source | Walsall | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Published | 29% | 28% | 44% |
| Edge | +15% | +6% | -21% |
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Walsall vs Salford City odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Salford City, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 3.73 | 3.73 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| Salford City | 1.90 | 1.90 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Walsall and Salford City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Walsall / Salford City)
- 1.02 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Walsall / Salford City)
- 0.65 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Walsall vs Salford City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Walsall goals. Columns: Salford City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Walsall vs Salford City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Walsall vs Salford City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Salford City | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.30 |
| No | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Walsall or draw) | 56% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Salford City) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win by 2+ | 10% | 9.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Walsall and Salford City recent form
Walsall
2W 4D 0L
Salford City
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Walsall at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Salford City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Walsall at home only, Salford City away only.
Walsall vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Walsall 1 · draws 0 · Salford City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Salford City | 1-0 | Walsall | League Two |
| 2025-08-23 | Walsall | 1-0 | Salford City | League Two |
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Before and after this match
- Walsall, previous: Walsall vs Oldham prediction
- Walsall, next: Newport County v Walsall analysis
- Salford City, previous: Bristol Rovers – Salford City, 2026-10-20
- Salford City, next: Carlisle vs Salford City prediction