Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster preview
Alemannia Aachen faces Preußen Münster with a 55% chance of winning and a predicted scoreline of 2-1, which has a 9% likelihood. The model suggests a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
Alemannia Aachen's expected goals are 2.16, while Preußen Münster's are lower at 1.35. Recent form shows Aachen with mixed results, winning 2 of their last 6 matches, while Münster has only 1 win in their last 6. These factors could influence the outcome, particularly if Münster improves their scoring ability.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster: model vs market
| Source | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Published | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.51
- Attack rating (Alemannia Aachen / Preußen Münster)
- 1.06 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Alemannia Aachen / Preußen Münster)
- 0.92 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Alemannia Aachen goals. Columns: Preußen Münster goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Preußen Münster | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Alemannia Aachen or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Preußen Münster) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Alemannia Aachen and Preußen Münster recent form
Alemannia Aachen
3W 0D 3L
Preußen Münster
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Alemannia Aachen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preußen Münster away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Alemannia Aachen at home only, Preußen Münster away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Alemannia Aachen, previous: Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen analysis
- Preußen Münster, previous: Preußen Münster v Fortuna Köln analysis