Verl vs SV Wehen preview
In the 3. Liga fixture between Verl and SV Wehen, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a 28% chance for Verl to win, a 24% chance for a draw, and a 48% chance for SV Wehen to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 67% likelihood, indicating a strong potential for an entertaining match.
Verl's recent form shows L-L-D-D-W-D, while SV Wehen has a more positive trend with W-D-W-W-L-W. The expected goals also favor SV Wehen at 1.95 compared to Verl's 1.47. A surprise result could occur if Verl improves their form or if SV Wehen underperforms.
Verl vs SV Wehen: model vs market
| Source | Verl | Draw | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Verl vs SV Wehen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Wehen, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 2.75 | 2.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.64 | +0.00 |
| SV Wehen | 2.20 | 2.20 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Verl and SV Wehen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (Verl / SV Wehen)
- 0.93 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Verl / SV Wehen)
- 1.10 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Verl vs SV Wehen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Verl goals. Columns: SV Wehen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Verl vs SV Wehen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Verl vs SV Wehen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| SV Wehen | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Verl or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or SV Wehen) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win by 2+ | 28% | 3.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Verl and SV Wehen recent form
Verl
1W 3D 2L
SV Wehen
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Verl at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
SV Wehen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Verl at home only, SV Wehen away only.
Verl vs SV Wehen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Verl 0 · draws 1 · SV Wehen 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | SV Wehen | 2-1 | Verl | 3. Liga |
| 2025-08-09 | Verl | 2-2 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Verl, previous: FC Viktoria Köln v Verl analysis
- SV Wehen, previous: SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach prediction