Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen preview
In the upcoming match between Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen, the 1X2 probabilities show Fortuna Düsseldorf at 39%, SV Meppen at 32%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 9% chance according to our model.
Fortuna Düsseldorf has an expected goals figure of 1.38, while SV Meppen sits at 1.22. With Over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, the potential for more goals exists. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected outcomes could occur, particularly given SV Meppen's recent form of D-W-D-L-L-L.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen: model vs market
| Source | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Draw | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Published | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.79, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Fortuna Düsseldorf, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.00 |
| SV Meppen | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.62
- Attack rating (Fortuna Düsseldorf / SV Meppen)
- 0.78 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Fortuna Düsseldorf / SV Meppen)
- 0.97 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fortuna Düsseldorf goals. Columns: SV Meppen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| SV Meppen | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or SV Meppen) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Düsseldorf win by 2+ | 13% | 7.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Meppen recent form
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2W 2D 2L
SV Meppen
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fortuna Düsseldorf at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SV Meppen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fortuna Düsseldorf at home only, SV Meppen away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Fortuna Düsseldorf, previous: Hansa Rostock – Fortuna Düsseldorf, 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen, previous: SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers: odds and pick