SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock preview
In the match between SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock, the 1X2 probabilities show SSV Jahn Regensburg at 37%, a draw at 25%, and Hansa Rostock at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 6% probability. Both teams have a 65% chance of scoring, and there is a 65% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals.
SSV Jahn Regensburg's expected goals are 2.00, while Hansa Rostock's are 1.34. Recent form indicates that SSV Jahn Regensburg has L-D-D-W-D-L, while Hansa Rostock has D-L-L-W-D-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock: model vs market
| Source | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Published | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Edge | +5% | 0% | -5% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hansa Rostock, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.88 | 2.88 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.13 | 2.13 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / Hansa Rostock)
- 1.02 / 0.93
- Defence rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / Hansa Rostock)
- 0.97 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SSV Jahn Regensburg goals. Columns: Hansa Rostock goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Hansa Rostock | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Hansa Rostock) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hansa Rostock win by 2+ | 11% | 9.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Hansa Rostock recent form
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1W 3D 2L
Hansa Rostock
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SSV Jahn Regensburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Hansa Rostock away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SSV Jahn Regensburg at home only, Hansa Rostock away only.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1 · draws 0 · Hansa Rostock 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Hansa Rostock | 2-5 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| 2025-11-30 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 0-3 | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- SSV Jahn Regensburg, previous: Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: odds and pick
- Hansa Rostock, previous: Hansa Rostock – Fortuna Düsseldorf, 2026-10-24