SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg preview
In the match between SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg, the 1X2 probabilities show SV Meppen at 43%, while SSV Jahn Regensburg stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Both teams to score has a probability of 54%, indicating that there is a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, the expected goals suggest SV Meppen at 1.46 and SSV Jahn Regensburg at 1.17, which could lead to a low-scoring game if Meppen's defense holds firm. The recent form also shows Meppen with mixed results, which could affect their performance.
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: model vs market
| Source | SV Meppen | Draw | SSV Jahn Regensburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 32% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Meppen, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen | 2.25 | 2.16 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.50 | 2.69 | +0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (SV Meppen / SSV Jahn Regensburg)
- 0.89 / 1.00
- Defence rating (SV Meppen / SSV Jahn Regensburg)
- 0.79 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Meppen goals. Columns: SSV Jahn Regensburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Meppen or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or SSV Jahn Regensburg) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win by 2+ | 21% | 4.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Meppen and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form
SV Meppen
2W 3D 1L
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Meppen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Meppen at home only, SSV Jahn Regensburg away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 2026-11-07
- SV Wehen v Havelse — match page 2026-11-07
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-11-07
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Stuttgart II vs Verl 2026-11-08
- Würzburger Kickers v Hoffenheim II — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- SV Meppen, previous: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen: odds and pick
- SSV Jahn Regensburg, previous: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock prediction