Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen preview
In the upcoming match between Rot-Weiß Essen and Alemannia Aachen, the 1X2 probabilities show Rot-Weiß Essen at 44%, while Alemannia Aachen is at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable expectation for both to find the net.
Rot-Weiß Essen has a recent form of W-L-W-L-W-D, while Alemannia Aachen shows W-W-W-L-L-W. Expected goals suggest Rot-Weiß Essen will score 1.48 and Alemannia Aachen 1.12. The confidence grade is C, which means there is some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like a sudden change in form or unexpected injuries could affect the outcome.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen: model vs market
| Source | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | Alemannia Aachen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.12.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rot-Weiß Essen, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.83 | 1.83 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.74 | -0.04 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.60 | 3.54 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rot-Weiß Essen and Alemannia Aachen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.60
- Attack rating (Rot-Weiß Essen / Alemannia Aachen)
- 0.93 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Rot-Weiß Essen / Alemannia Aachen)
- 0.71 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rot-Weiß Essen goals. Columns: Alemannia Aachen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Alemannia Aachen | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rot-Weiß Essen or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Alemannia Aachen) | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win by 2+ | 22% | 4.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rot-Weiß Essen and Alemannia Aachen recent form
Rot-Weiß Essen
3W 1D 2L
Alemannia Aachen
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rot-Weiß Essen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alemannia Aachen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rot-Weiß Essen at home only, Alemannia Aachen away only.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Rot-Weiß Essen 3 · draws 3 · Alemannia Aachen 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Alemannia Aachen | 3-3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 2025-08-31 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2-3 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 2025-01-19 | Alemannia Aachen | 2-0 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 2024-08-03 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1-2 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 2022-07-16 | Alemannia Aachen | 1-3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-04-10 | Alemannia Aachen | 1-1 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| 2021-10-30 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2-1 | Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| 2021-05-15 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2-1 | Alemannia Aachen | Regionalliga - West |
| 2020-11-29 | Alemannia Aachen | 1-1 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-11-06
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 2026-11-07
- SV Wehen v Havelse — match page 2026-11-07
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg 2026-11-08
- Stuttgart II vs Verl 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Rot-Weiß Essen, previous: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Rot-Weiß Essen analysis
- Alemannia Aachen, previous: Alemannia Aachen – Preußen Münster, 2026-11-01