Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln preview
Waldhof Mannheim faces Fortuna Köln with a 49% chance of winning compared to Köln's 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with expected goals of 1.40 for Mannheim and 0.84 for Köln. This suggests a tight match with limited scoring opportunities.
However, the prediction could be impacted by both teams' recent form. Mannheim has fluctuated with a record of W-L-L-W-W-L, while Köln has struggled, recording L-L-L-D-W-L. With 39% for Over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, the potential for more goals exists, but recent performances may not support that outcome.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln: model vs market
| Source | Waldhof Mannheim | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Published | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Waldhof Mannheim, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.85 | 1.81 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.64 | +0.04 |
| Fortuna Köln | 3.45 | 3.62 | +0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Waldhof Mannheim and Fortuna Köln expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.33
- Attack rating (Waldhof Mannheim / Fortuna Köln)
- 1.00 / 0.59
- Defence rating (Waldhof Mannheim / Fortuna Köln)
- 1.00 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Waldhof Mannheim goals. Columns: Fortuna Köln goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Fortuna Köln | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Waldhof Mannheim or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Fortuna Köln) | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Handicap -1 | Waldhof Mannheim win by 2+ | 26% | 3.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Waldhof Mannheim and Fortuna Köln recent form
Waldhof Mannheim
3W 0D 3L
Fortuna Köln
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Waldhof Mannheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Köln away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Waldhof Mannheim at home only, Fortuna Köln away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-11-06
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 2026-11-07
- SV Wehen v Havelse — match page 2026-11-07
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-11-07
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg 2026-11-08
- Stuttgart II vs Verl 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Waldhof Mannheim, previous: FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim prediction
- Fortuna Köln, previous: Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: odds and pick