Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers preview
In the match between Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers, the 1X2 probabilities show Fortuna Köln at 45%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. Fortuna Köln has an expected goals figure of 1.36, while Würzburger Kickers sits at 0.96.
However, the model indicates a 41% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. This suggests that if either team finds their scoring form, the match could deviate from the predicted low-scoring outcome. Recent form also shows Fortuna Köln with two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Würzburger Kickers has won two out of their last five.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers: model vs market
| Source | Fortuna Köln | Draw | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Fortuna Köln, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 2.01 | 2.01 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.45 | +0.00 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (Fortuna Köln / Würzburger Kickers)
- 0.58 / 0.82
- Defence rating (Fortuna Köln / Würzburger Kickers)
- 0.78 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fortuna Köln goals. Columns: Würzburger Kickers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Köln | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Würzburger Kickers | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fortuna Köln or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Würzburger Kickers) | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Köln win by 2+ | 19% | 5.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Fortuna Köln and Würzburger Kickers recent form
Fortuna Köln
1W 1D 4L
Würzburger Kickers
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fortuna Köln at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
Würzburger Kickers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 3.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fortuna Köln at home only, Würzburger Kickers away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Fortuna Köln, previous: Preußen Münster v Fortuna Köln analysis
- Würzburger Kickers, previous: SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers: odds and pick