Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln preview
In the match between Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Viktoria Köln at 50%, while Hoffenheim II stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.56 for Hoffenheim II and 2.13 for FC Viktoria Köln.
The high percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 70% suggest a potentially open game. However, Hoffenheim II's recent form, with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, could lead to an unexpected outcome, especially given their head-to-head record of 0 wins against FC Viktoria Köln in the last 2 encounters.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln: model vs market
| Source | Hoffenheim II | Draw | FC Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| Published | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| Edge | -3% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 1.51.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.88
- Attack rating (Hoffenheim II / FC Viktoria Köln)
- 1.04 / 1.39
- Defence rating (Hoffenheim II / FC Viktoria Köln)
- 1.16 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hoffenheim II goals. Columns: FC Viktoria Köln goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim II | 33% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.40 |
| No | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hoffenheim II or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Viktoria Köln) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win by 2+ | 36% | 2.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Hoffenheim II and FC Viktoria Köln recent form
Hoffenheim II
3W 0D 3L
FC Viktoria Köln
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hoffenheim II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
FC Viktoria Köln away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hoffenheim II at home only, FC Viktoria Köln away only.
Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hoffenheim II 0 · draws 0 · FC Viktoria Köln 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Hoffenheim II | 1-3 | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| 2025-09-16 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2-1 | Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-11-01
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Hoffenheim II, previous: Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II prediction
- FC Viktoria Köln, previous: FC Viktoria Köln v Verl analysis