FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim preview
In the match between FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Saarbrücken at 55%, while Waldhof Mannheim is at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals for FC Saarbrücken are 2.26, compared to 1.46 for Waldhof Mannheim.
Both teams to score has a 70% probability, and the chance of Over 2.5 goals is 72%. Recent form indicates FC Saarbrücken has two wins in their last six matches, while Waldhof Mannheim has three wins in their last six. A draw is possible, as shown by the 22% probability, which could impact the expected outcome.
FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim: model vs market
| Source | FC Saarbrücken | Draw | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Published | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.71.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Saarbrücken, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 2.06 | 2.05 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.60 | -0.04 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 3.00 | 2.96 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.88
- Attack rating (FC Saarbrücken / Waldhof Mannheim)
- 1.26 / 1.02
- Defence rating (FC Saarbrücken / Waldhof Mannheim)
- 1.14 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Saarbrücken goals. Columns: Waldhof Mannheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Saarbrücken | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.36 |
| No | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Saarbrücken or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Waldhof Mannheim) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Saarbrücken win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Saarbrücken and Waldhof Mannheim recent form
FC Saarbrücken
2W 2D 2L
Waldhof Mannheim
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Saarbrücken at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waldhof Mannheim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Saarbrücken at home only, Waldhof Mannheim away only.
FC Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Saarbrücken 1 · draws 0 · Waldhof Mannheim 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | FC Saarbrücken | 2-0 | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| 2025-12-07 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2-1 | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock 2026-10-31
- MSV Duisburg v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-31
- Verl vs SV Wehen 2026-10-31
- Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page 2026-10-31
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-31
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- FC Saarbrücken, previous: Havelse – FC Saarbrücken, 2026-10-25
- Waldhof Mannheim, previous: Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II prediction