SV Wehen vs Havelse preview
SV Wehen faces Havelse with a 74% probability of winning, while Havelse sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, which aligns with the high expected goals of 3.03 for SV Wehen and 1.16 for Havelse. With 79% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, the match suggests a strong offensive display from SV Wehen.
However, recent form shows SV Wehen with a mixed record of W-W-D-W-W-L, while Havelse has struggled, recording D-W-D-D-L-L. The head-to-head record is even, with each team winning once in their last two encounters. This could lead to unexpected results, making the predicted outcomes less certain.
SV Wehen vs Havelse: model vs market
| Source | SV Wehen | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 15% |
| Published | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SV Wehen vs Havelse odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Wehen, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 1.38 | 1.36 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.90 | 4.85 | -0.05 |
| Havelse | 6.20 | 6.10 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Wehen and Havelse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.19
- Attack rating (SV Wehen / Havelse)
- 1.32 / 0.91
- Defence rating (SV Wehen / Havelse)
- 0.86 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Wehen vs Havelse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Wehen goals. Columns: Havelse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Wehen vs Havelse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Wehen vs Havelse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.65 | |
| Havelse | 14% | 7.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Wehen or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Havelse) | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win by 2+ | 56% | 1.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Wehen and Havelse recent form
SV Wehen
4W 1D 1L
Havelse
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Wehen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Havelse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Wehen at home only, Havelse away only.
SV Wehen vs Havelse head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: SV Wehen 3 · draws 0 · Havelse 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SV Wehen | 1-4 | Havelse | 3. Liga |
| 2025-11-01 | Havelse | 0-2 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2022-01-26 | Havelse | 0-1 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2021-08-22 | SV Wehen | 2-1 | Havelse | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-11-06
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 2026-11-07
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-11-07
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg 2026-11-08
- Stuttgart II vs Verl 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- SV Wehen, previous: Verl v SV Wehen analysis
- Havelse, previous: Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04: odds and pick