Stuttgart II vs Verl preview
Stuttgart II faces Verl with a 59% probability of winning according to our model, while Verl has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 8% of the time in our predictions. Stuttgart II has an expected goals figure of 2.60, compared to Verl's 1.56, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.
However, Stuttgart II's recent form shows 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 matches, which could impact their performance. Verl, despite a poor run of 3 losses, managed a draw and a win recently. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 78% and both teams to score at 74%, reflecting the potential for an exciting encounter.
Stuttgart II vs Verl: model vs market
| Source | Stuttgart II | Draw | Verl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 19% | 21% |
| Market | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Published | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Edge | +5% | -1% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stuttgart II below our published probability: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +6.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Stuttgart II vs Verl odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stuttgart II, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 2.30 | 2.38 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.82 | -0.13 |
| Verl | 2.44 | 2.37 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stuttgart II and Verl expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.16
- Attack rating (Stuttgart II / Verl)
- 1.19 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Stuttgart II / Verl)
- 1.21 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stuttgart II vs Verl score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stuttgart II goals. Columns: Verl goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stuttgart II vs Verl goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stuttgart II vs Verl
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stuttgart II | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Verl | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 4.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.36 |
| No | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stuttgart II or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Verl) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stuttgart II win by 2+ | 40% | 2.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stuttgart II and Verl recent form
Stuttgart II
2W 3D 1L
Verl
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stuttgart II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Verl away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stuttgart II at home only, Verl away only.
Stuttgart II vs Verl head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Stuttgart II 0 · draws 1 · Verl 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Verl | 4-0 | Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| 2025-08-23 | Stuttgart II | 1-1 | Verl | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf 2026-11-07
- SV Wehen v Havelse — match page 2026-11-07
- Hansa Rostock vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Rot-Weiß Essen v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-11-07
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Preußen Münster vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- SV Meppen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg 2026-11-08
- Würzburger Kickers v Hoffenheim II — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Stuttgart II, previous: MSV Duisburg – Stuttgart II, 2026-10-31
- Verl, previous: Verl v SV Wehen analysis