FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach preview
In the match between FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong advantage for FC Viktoria Köln at 66%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 11%. The expected goals are also in favor of FC Viktoria Köln at 2.15 compared to 0.85 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
However, there are factors that could challenge this prediction. Both teams to score sits at 52%, indicating a chance for Grossaspach to find the net. Additionally, FC Viktoria Köln's recent form includes one loss, which could affect their performance. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: model vs market
| Source | FC Viktoria Köln | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Published | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Edge | +14% | -2% | -11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below the model: +13.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (FC Viktoria Köln / SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
- 1.23 / 0.74
- Defence rating (FC Viktoria Köln / SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
- 0.78 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Viktoria Köln goals. Columns: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Viktoria Köln or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win by 2+ | 43% | 2.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
FC Viktoria Köln
4W 1D 1L
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Viktoria Köln at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Viktoria Köln at home only, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page 2026-10-13
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln 2026-10-13
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-13
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page 2026-10-13
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen 2026-10-14
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- FC Viktoria Köln, previous: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln prediction
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, previous: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Waldhof Mannheim, 2026-10-10