Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen: model vs market
| Source | Hansa Rostock | Draw | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.54.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.09
- Attack rating (Hansa Rostock / SV Meppen)
- 1.22 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Hansa Rostock / SV Meppen)
- 1.30 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hansa Rostock goals. Columns: SV Meppen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hansa Rostock | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.09 | |
| SV Meppen | 21% | 4.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hansa Rostock or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or SV Meppen) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hansa Rostock win by 2+ | 39% | 2.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen recent form
Hansa Rostock
2W 2D 2L
SV Meppen
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hansa Rostock at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
SV Meppen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hansa Rostock at home only, SV Meppen away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-13
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page 2026-10-13
- Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats 2026-10-13