Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen

Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.38.
• Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Hansa Rostock, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.76

Attack rating (Hansa Rostock / SV Meppen)

1.21 / 0.79

Defence rating (Hansa Rostock / SV Meppen)

1.17 / 1.13

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Hansa Rostock goals. Columns: SV Meppen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

69%

No goals (0–0)

3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen recent form

Hansa Rostock WDWLDW 3W 2D 1L

SV Meppen DLLLLW 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: Hansa Rostock at home only, SV Meppen away only.

Expected lineups