SV Meppen vs Havelse preview
In the match between SV Meppen and Havelse, the 1X2 probabilities show SV Meppen at 50%, while Havelse sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability.
Both teams have shown inconsistent recent form, with SV Meppen recording D-L-L-L-L-W and Havelse at L-L-L-D-L-W. The model predicts a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 68%. These figures suggest a potential for an exciting match, but if either team improves defensively, it could affect the scoring outcomes.
SV Meppen vs Havelse: model vs market
| Source | SV Meppen | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Published | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
SV Meppen vs Havelse odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Meppen, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen | 1.64 | 1.65 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.15 | +0.15 |
| Havelse | 4.20 | 4.18 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Meppen and Havelse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.49
- Attack rating (SV Meppen / Havelse)
- 0.84 / 0.88
- Defence rating (SV Meppen / Havelse)
- 1.01 / 1.48
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Meppen vs Havelse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Meppen goals. Columns: Havelse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Meppen vs Havelse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Meppen vs Havelse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Havelse | 22% | 4.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Meppen or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Havelse) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win by 2+ | 35% | 2.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Meppen and Havelse recent form
SV Meppen
1W 1D 4L
Havelse
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Meppen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Havelse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Meppen at home only, Havelse away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-17
- SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen — match page 2026-10-17
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-10-17
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl 2026-10-18
- MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- SV Meppen, previous: Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen: odds and pick
- Havelse, previous: Havelse – Würzburger Kickers, 2026-10-13