Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers: model vs market
| Source | Havelse | Draw | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 23% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Havelse and Würzburger Kickers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.87
- Attack rating (Havelse / Würzburger Kickers)
- 0.95 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Havelse / Würzburger Kickers)
- 1.36 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Havelse goals. Columns: Würzburger Kickers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Havelse | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | |
| Würzburger Kickers | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.36 |
| No | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Havelse or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Würzburger Kickers) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Havelse win by 2+ | 24% | 4.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Havelse and Würzburger Kickers recent form
Havelse
1W 1D 4L
Würzburger Kickers
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Havelse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Würzburger Kickers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 3.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Havelse at home only, Würzburger Kickers away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page 2026-10-13
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln 2026-10-13
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-13
- Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats 2026-10-13