SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen preview
In the 3. Liga fixture, SV Wehen faces Alemannia Aachen with a 14% chance for SV Wehen to win, compared to 64% for Alemannia Aachen. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.87 for SV Wehen and 2.08 for Alemannia Aachen.
Alemannia Aachen's recent form shows 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while SV Wehen has only 1 win in the same period. The model suggests a 57% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score. However, if SV Wehen improves their scoring, it could change the outcome.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen: model vs market
| Source | SV Wehen | Draw | Alemannia Aachen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Published | 29% | 24% | 46% |
| Edge | -21% | -3% | +24% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Alemannia Aachen below the model: +23.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (SV Wehen / Alemannia Aachen)
- 0.71 / 1.18
- Defence rating (SV Wehen / Alemannia Aachen)
- 1.20 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Wehen goals. Columns: Alemannia Aachen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Alemannia Aachen | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Wehen or draw) | 54% | 1.87 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Alemannia Aachen) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win by 2+ | 41% | 2.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen recent form
SV Wehen
1W 2D 3L
Alemannia Aachen
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Wehen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alemannia Aachen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Wehen at home only, Alemannia Aachen away only.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: SV Wehen 0 · draws 0 · Alemannia Aachen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Alemannia Aachen | 3-0 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2025-10-24 | SV Wehen | 1-2 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page 2026-10-13
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln 2026-10-13
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-13
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page 2026-10-13
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- SV Wehen, previous: FC Ingolstadt 04 – SV Wehen, 2026-10-11
- Alemannia Aachen, previous: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln prediction