Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf preview
In the upcoming match between Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf, the 1X2 probabilities show Preußen Münster at 43% to win, while Fortuna Düsseldorf stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Preußen Münster recording L-D-W-W-L-L and Fortuna Düsseldorf at L-W-W-D-W-L.
The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood for both teams to score. Preußen Münster has expected goals of 1.51 compared to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 1.20. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. This could mean that unexpected performances or tactical changes might alter the expected outcome.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: model vs market
| Source | Preußen Münster | Draw | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.28.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Preußen Münster / Fortuna Düsseldorf)
- 1.02 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Preußen Münster / Fortuna Düsseldorf)
- 1.26 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Preußen Münster goals. Columns: Fortuna Düsseldorf goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 46% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Preußen Münster or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Fortuna Düsseldorf) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | Preußen Münster win by 2+ | 25% | 4.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form
Preußen Münster
2W 2D 2L
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Preußen Münster at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Fortuna Düsseldorf away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Preußen Münster at home only, Fortuna Düsseldorf away only.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Preußen Münster 0 · draws 1 · Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 0-0 | Preußen Münster | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Preußen Münster | 1-2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page 2026-10-13
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln 2026-10-13
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-13
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page 2026-10-13
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen 2026-10-14
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Preußen Münster, previous: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction
- Fortuna Düsseldorf, previous: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: odds and pick