Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II Prediction & Betting Tips 13/10/2026

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Stuttgart II	Draw	Hoffenheim II
Model	37%	22%	42%
Market	—	—	—
Published	37%	22%	42%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.98Stuttgart II

2.11Hoffenheim II

Total expected goals: 4.08
Attack rating (Stuttgart II / Hoffenheim II): 1.24 / 1.05
Defence rating (Stuttgart II / Hoffenheim II): 1.37 / 0.91

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 2.6% 2.3% 1 2.6% 7.7% 7.4% 5.2% 4.5% 2 3.3% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 4.4% 3 2.2% 4.6% 4.8% 3.4% 2.9% 4+ 1.7% 3.6% 3.7% 2.6% 2.3%

Rows: Stuttgart II goals. Columns: Hoffenheim II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%

Over 1.5 92%

Over 2.5 77%

Over 3.5 58%

Both teams to score: 76%
No goals (0–0): 2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Stuttgart II	37%	2.73
	Draw	22%	4.58
	Hoffenheim II	42%	2.41
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77%	1.29
	Under 2.5	23%	4.43
Both teams to score	Yes	76%	1.31
	No	24%	4.23
Double chance	1X (Stuttgart II or draw)	58%	1.71
	12 (either side)	78%	1.28
	X2 (draw or Hoffenheim II)	63%	1.58
Handicap -1	Hoffenheim II win by 2+	24%	4.17
	Push (exactly one goal)	18%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Stuttgart II and Hoffenheim II recent form

Stuttgart II 1W 1D 4L

Hoffenheim II 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Stuttgart II at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 1.67
Goals against / match: 2.67
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Hoffenheim II away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-1
Win rate: 67%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 0.67
Clean sheets: 1 of 3

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Stuttgart II at home only, Hoffenheim II away only.

Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Stuttgart II 2 · draws 0 · Hoffenheim II 0.

100% 0% 0%

Stuttgart IIDrawsHoffenheim II

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-03-15	Stuttgart II	1-0	Hoffenheim II	3. Liga
2025-10-05	Hoffenheim II	1-3	Stuttgart II	3. Liga

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Prediction snapshot Hoffenheim II to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Hoffenheim II