Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim preview
Würzburger Kickers face Waldhof Mannheim with 27% and 49% probabilities to win, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.39 for Würzburger Kickers and 1.93 for Waldhof Mannheim. The model indicates a strong chance of Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 65%.
Würzburger Kickers have struggled recently, losing 5 of their last 6 matches, while Waldhof Mannheim has won 2 of their last 3. This recent form could impact the match outcome, potentially leading to a different scoreline than predicted. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the forecast.
Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim: model vs market
| Source | Würzburger Kickers | Draw | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Published | 31% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | -4% | -2% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Waldhof Mannheim below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Waldhof Mannheim, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.60 | 2.88 | +0.28 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 2.30 | 2.20 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Würzburger Kickers / Waldhof Mannheim)
- 0.86 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Würzburger Kickers / Waldhof Mannheim)
- 1.21 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Würzburger Kickers goals. Columns: Waldhof Mannheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Würzburger Kickers | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 | |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Würzburger Kickers or draw) | 57% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Waldhof Mannheim) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Waldhof Mannheim win by 2+ | 28% | 3.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim recent form
Würzburger Kickers
1W 1D 4L
Waldhof Mannheim
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Würzburger Kickers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waldhof Mannheim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Würzburger Kickers at home only, Waldhof Mannheim away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-16
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-17
- SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen — match page 2026-10-17
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl 2026-10-18
- MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Würzburger Kickers, previous: Havelse – Würzburger Kickers, 2026-10-13
- Waldhof Mannheim, previous: Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction