SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen preview
In the upcoming match between SSV Jahn Regensburg and SV Wehen, the 1X2 probabilities show SSV Jahn Regensburg at 67%, while SV Wehen sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also indicates a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 65%.
Recent form suggests SSV Jahn Regensburg has struggled, with a record of W-D-L-D-L-L, while SV Wehen has a mixed form of L-W-L-D-D-L. The expected goals are 2.60 for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.17 for SV Wehen. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating potential uncertainties in the match outcome.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen: model vs market
| Source | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Draw | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
| Published | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Edge | +18% | -6% | -13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.46.
- The market prices SSV Jahn Regensburg below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SSV Jahn Regensburg, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.19 | 2.20 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.58 | -0.02 |
| SV Wehen | 2.70 | 2.75 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and SV Wehen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.98
- Attack rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / SV Wehen)
- 1.23 / 0.88
- Defence rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / SV Wehen)
- 1.10 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SSV Jahn Regensburg goals. Columns: SV Wehen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| SV Wehen | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.40 |
| No | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or SV Wehen) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg win by 2+ | 40% | 2.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and SV Wehen recent form
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1W 2D 3L
SV Wehen
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SSV Jahn Regensburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
SV Wehen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SSV Jahn Regensburg at home only, SV Wehen away only.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SSV Jahn Regensburg 6 · draws 3 · SV Wehen 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2-1 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2025-09-16 | SV Wehen | 2-0 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| 2024-05-28 | SV Wehen | 1-2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-24 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2-2 | SV Wehen | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2020-12-23 | SV Wehen | 0-0 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | DFB Pokal |
| 2020-02-15 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1-0 | SV Wehen | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2019-08-31 | SV Wehen | 0-5 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2017-04-22 | SV Wehen | 1-1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| 2016-11-19 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3-1 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2015-04-04 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3-0 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-16
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-17
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-10-17
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl 2026-10-18
- MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- SSV Jahn Regensburg, previous: Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: odds and pick
- SV Wehen, previous: SV Wehen v Alemannia Aachen analysis