SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster preview
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach faces Preußen Münster with a 38% chance of winning compared to 37% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 8% of the time according to our model. There is a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%, suggesting an open match.
However, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's recent form shows L-L-D-D-W-L, while Preußen Münster has D-L-D-W-W-L. If either team fails to convert their chances, the expected goals of 1.61 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and 1.83 for Preußen Münster could lead to a lower-scoring game than anticipated. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster: model vs market
| Source | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Draw | Preußen Münster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Published | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | -8% | -2% | +9% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2.30 | 2.25 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| Preußen Münster | 2.60 | 2.75 | +0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Preußen Münster expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach / Preußen Münster)
- 0.73 / 1.02
- Defence rating (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach / Preußen Münster)
- 1.20 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach goals. Columns: Preußen Münster goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Preußen Münster | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Preußen Münster) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win by 2+ | 17% | 6.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Preußen Münster recent form
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1W 2D 3L
Preußen Münster
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preußen Münster away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at home only, Preußen Münster away only.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4 · draws 4 · Preußen Münster 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0-0 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2019-10-19 | Preußen Münster | 1-1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2019-04-20 | Preußen Münster | 1-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2018-11-11 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3-1 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2018-05-12 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-2 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2017-12-09 | Preußen Münster | 1-4 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2017-02-18 | Preußen Münster | 3-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2016-08-13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-0 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2015-12-12 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3-1 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2015-07-25 | Preußen Münster | 1-1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II — match page 2026-10-16
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-17
- SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen — match page 2026-10-17
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim — match page 2026-10-17
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl 2026-10-18
- MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, previous: FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach prediction
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, next: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg: odds and pick
- Preußen Münster, previous: Preußen Münster – Fortuna Düsseldorf, 2026-10-14