Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken preview
Havelse faces FC Saarbrücken with a 1X2 probability of 20% for Havelse, 18% for a draw, and 61% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. FC Saarbrücken's expected goals stand at 2.80, while Havelse has 1.63.
Over 2.5 goals has an 82% likelihood, and both teams to score is at 76%. Recent form shows Havelse with 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while FC Saarbrücken has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Havelse can improve their form, the predictions could change.
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken: model vs market
| Source | Havelse | Draw | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| Published | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Saarbrücken, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Havelse | 4.05 | 4.30 | +0.25 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.20 | +0.15 |
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.61 | 1.58 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Havelse and FC Saarbrücken expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.25
- Attack rating (Havelse / FC Saarbrücken)
- 0.86 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Havelse / FC Saarbrücken)
- 1.42 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Havelse goals. Columns: FC Saarbrücken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Havelse | 21% | 4.77 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 | |
| FC Saarbrücken | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.34 |
| No | 25% | 3.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Havelse or draw) | 42% | 2.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Saarbrücken) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Saarbrücken win by 2+ | 41% | 2.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Havelse and FC Saarbrücken recent form
Havelse
0W 3D 3L
FC Saarbrücken
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Havelse at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Saarbrücken away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Havelse at home only, FC Saarbrücken away only.
Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Havelse 1 · draws 1 · FC Saarbrücken 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Havelse | 2-0 | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | FC Saarbrücken | 1-1 | Havelse | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-10-24
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Havelse, previous: SV Meppen – Havelse, 2026-10-18
- FC Saarbrücken, previous: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken: odds and pick