Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln preview
In the match between Preußen Münster and Fortuna Köln, the 1X2 probabilities show Preußen Münster at 41%, while Fortuna Köln sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Both teams have had mixed recent form, with Preußen Münster recording L-L-D-L-D-W and Fortuna Köln at L-L-D-W-L-D. This could impact the expected goals, which are 1.43 for Preußen Münster and 1.23 for Fortuna Köln. Additionally, there is a 50% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score, which highlights the potential for an open game.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln: model vs market
| Source | Preußen Münster | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Published | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Preußen Münster, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 2.08 | 2.09 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.32 | +0.00 |
| Fortuna Köln | 3.09 | 3.05 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Köln expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Preußen Münster / Fortuna Köln)
- 1.03 / 0.63
- Defence rating (Preußen Münster / Fortuna Köln)
- 1.30 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Preußen Münster goals. Columns: Fortuna Köln goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Fortuna Köln | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Preußen Münster or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Fortuna Köln) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Preußen Münster win by 2+ | 20% | 5.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Preußen Münster and Fortuna Köln recent form
Preußen Münster
1W 2D 3L
Fortuna Köln
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Preußen Münster at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Fortuna Köln away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Preußen Münster at home only, Fortuna Köln away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-10-24
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Preußen Münster, previous: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster prediction
- Fortuna Köln, previous: Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II analysis