Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen preview
In the match between Stuttgart II and Alemannia Aachen, the 1X2 probabilities show Alemannia Aachen at 43%, Stuttgart II at 32%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.
Both teams have a strong chance of scoring, with our model indicating a 73% probability for both teams to score and for Over 2.5 goals. Stuttgart II has an expected goals figure of 1.95, while Alemannia Aachen stands at 1.83. Recent form shows Stuttgart II with 2 wins and 4 matches without a victory, while Alemannia Aachen has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen: model vs market
| Source | Stuttgart II | Draw | Alemannia Aachen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Published | 32% | 24% | 43% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Alemannia Aachen, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 3.11 | 3.08 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.64 | +0.00 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1.98 | 2.00 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stuttgart II and Alemannia Aachen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.78
- Attack rating (Stuttgart II / Alemannia Aachen)
- 1.18 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Stuttgart II / Alemannia Aachen)
- 1.16 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stuttgart II goals. Columns: Alemannia Aachen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stuttgart II | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Alemannia Aachen | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stuttgart II or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Alemannia Aachen) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stuttgart II and Alemannia Aachen recent form
Stuttgart II
2W 2D 2L
Alemannia Aachen
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stuttgart II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Alemannia Aachen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stuttgart II at home only, Alemannia Aachen away only.
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Stuttgart II 2 · draws 0 · Alemannia Aachen 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Alemannia Aachen | 3-1 | Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| 2025-11-09 | Stuttgart II | 1-3 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 2025-05-03 | Stuttgart II | 2-1 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| 2024-12-07 | Alemannia Aachen | 2-1 | Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| 2013-05-11 | Alemannia Aachen | 4-2 | Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| 2012-11-17 | Stuttgart II | 2-1 | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Rot-Weiß Essen v SSV Jahn Regensburg — match page 2026-10-23
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Stuttgart II, previous: Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II analysis
- Alemannia Aachen, previous: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock: odds and pick