SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach preview
In the match between SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, the 1X2 probabilities show SV Wehen at 50%, while both teams have a 25% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.84 for SV Wehen and 1.26 for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
The model indicates a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability for both teams to score. However, recent form could affect these predictions, as SV Wehen has a mixed record with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, while SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has only 1 win in their last 5 games.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: model vs market
| Source | SV Wehen | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Wehen, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 1.83 | 1.86 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.64 | +0.00 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3.54 | 3.50 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (SV Wehen / SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
- 0.88 / 0.90
- Defence rating (SV Wehen / SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach)
- 0.94 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Wehen goals. Columns: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Wehen or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Wehen win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Wehen and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
SV Wehen
3W 1D 2L
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Wehen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Wehen at home only, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach away only.
SV Wehen vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: SV Wehen 6 · draws 2 · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-3 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2018-09-25 | SV Wehen | 2-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2018-03-10 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1-3 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2017-09-23 | SV Wehen | 5-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2017-05-06 | SV Wehen | 0-0 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2016-12-02 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2-1 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2016-05-07 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0-1 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| 2015-11-28 | SV Wehen | 2-2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2015-04-11 | SV Wehen | 0-1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga |
| 2014-10-05 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0-3 | SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
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Before and after this match
- SV Wehen, previous: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen prediction
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, previous: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster prediction
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, next: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Augsburg: odds and pick