Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg preview
In the upcoming match between Rot-Weiß Essen and SSV Jahn Regensburg, the 1X2 probabilities show Rot-Weiß Essen at 53%, while SSV Jahn Regensburg sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 72%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 73%, indicating a strong potential for a high-scoring game.
Rot-Weiß Essen has been in solid form, with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches. In contrast, SSV Jahn Regensburg has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 6 games. This recent performance could influence the outcome, but the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: model vs market
| Source | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | SSV Jahn Regensburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Published | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rot-Weiß Essen, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.62 | 1.58 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.15 | +0.10 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 4.09 | 4.36 | +0.27 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rot-Weiß Essen and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (Rot-Weiß Essen / SSV Jahn Regensburg)
- 1.04 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Rot-Weiß Essen / SSV Jahn Regensburg)
- 0.77 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rot-Weiß Essen goals. Columns: SSV Jahn Regensburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 55% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rot-Weiß Essen or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or SSV Jahn Regensburg) | 45% | 2.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Rot-Weiß Essen and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form
Rot-Weiß Essen
3W 2D 1L
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rot-Weiß Essen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Rot-Weiß Essen at home only, SSV Jahn Regensburg away only.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Rot-Weiß Essen 3 · draws 1 · SSV Jahn Regensburg 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3-2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| 2025-09-12 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1-3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 2024-02-10 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1-3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 2023-09-16 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 0-0 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-10-24
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Rot-Weiß Essen, previous: FC Ingolstadt 04 – Rot-Weiß Essen, 2026-10-17
- Rot-Weiß Essen, next: Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig prediction
- SSV Jahn Regensburg, previous: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen prediction