SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers preview
In the match between SV Meppen and Würzburger Kickers, the 1X2 probabilities show SV Meppen at 47%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
However, SV Meppen's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Würzburger Kickers have also struggled, with 4 losses in their last 6. This inconsistent performance could affect the predicted outcomes, making it possible for the match to deviate from the expected goals of 1.77 for SV Meppen and 1.30 for Würzburger Kickers.
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers: model vs market
| Source | SV Meppen | Draw | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.97, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Meppen, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen | 1.90 | 1.91 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.58 | +0.03 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 3.25 | 3.29 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Meppen and Würzburger Kickers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (SV Meppen / Würzburger Kickers)
- 0.82 / 0.91
- Defence rating (SV Meppen / Würzburger Kickers)
- 0.97 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Meppen goals. Columns: Würzburger Kickers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Würzburger Kickers | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Meppen or draw) | 72% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Würzburger Kickers) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win by 2+ | 22% | 4.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Meppen and Würzburger Kickers recent form
SV Meppen
1W 2D 3L
Würzburger Kickers
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Meppen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Würzburger Kickers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Meppen at home only, Würzburger Kickers away only.
SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: SV Meppen 1 · draws 2 · Würzburger Kickers 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | SV Meppen | 2-4 | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| 2021-11-27 | Würzburger Kickers | 1-3 | SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| 2020-05-30 | SV Meppen | 1-3 | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| 2019-09-20 | Würzburger Kickers | 3-2 | SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| 2019-03-12 | SV Meppen | 1-1 | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
| 2018-09-25 | Würzburger Kickers | 2-1 | SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| 2017-12-16 | Würzburger Kickers | 2-0 | SV Meppen | 3. Liga |
| 2017-07-22 | SV Meppen | 2-2 | Würzburger Kickers | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Rot-Weiß Essen v SSV Jahn Regensburg — match page 2026-10-23
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-10-24
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- SV Meppen, previous: SV Meppen – Havelse, 2026-10-18
- Würzburger Kickers, previous: Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim: odds and pick