Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II preview
Waldhof Mannheim faces Hoffenheim II with a 41% chance of winning compared to Hoffenheim II's 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.58 for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.64 for Hoffenheim II. Over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability, while both teams to score stands at 65%.
Waldhof Mannheim's recent form shows L-L-W-W-L-W, while Hoffenheim II has W-L-L-W-W-D. The head-to-head record indicates Waldhof Mannheim has 0 wins, 1 draw, and Hoffenheim II has 1 win in their last 2 encounters. A draw is a possibility, which could impact the expected outcomes. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II: model vs market
| Source | Waldhof Mannheim | Draw | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Waldhof Mannheim, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim | 2.09 | 2.15 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.00 |
| Hoffenheim II | 2.76 | 2.70 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Waldhof Mannheim / Hoffenheim II)
- 0.87 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Waldhof Mannheim / Hoffenheim II)
- 1.03 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Waldhof Mannheim goals. Columns: Hoffenheim II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Hoffenheim II | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Waldhof Mannheim or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Hoffenheim II) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Waldhof Mannheim win by 2+ | 18% | 5.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Waldhof Mannheim and Hoffenheim II recent form
Waldhof Mannheim
3W 0D 3L
Hoffenheim II
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Waldhof Mannheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hoffenheim II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Waldhof Mannheim at home only, Hoffenheim II away only.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Hoffenheim II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Waldhof Mannheim 0 · draws 1 · Hoffenheim II 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1-1 | Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
| 2025-11-02 | Hoffenheim II | 2-0 | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg — match page 2026-10-24
- SV Meppen vs Würzburger Kickers 2026-10-24
- SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — match page 2026-10-24
- Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl 2026-10-24
- Stuttgart II v Alemannia Aachen — match page 2026-10-24
- Havelse vs FC Saarbrücken 2026-10-25
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Waldhof Mannheim, previous: Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim: odds and pick
- Hoffenheim II, previous: Hoffenheim II vs Verl prediction