Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa preview
Kashiwa Reysol faces Urawa with a 52% probability of winning and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. The model predicts a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 76%. Kashiwa Reysol's expected goals stand at 2.42, while Urawa's is 1.74.
However, recent form shows Kashiwa Reysol with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Urawa has 4 wins but also a loss in their last 6. Urawa has won the last head-to-head match, which could influence the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa: model vs market
| Source | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| Published | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.66.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kashiwa Reysol, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.65 | -0.10 |
| Urawa | 3.20 | 3.25 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.87
- Attack rating (Kashiwa Reysol / Urawa)
- 1.41 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Kashiwa Reysol / Urawa)
- 1.04 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kashiwa Reysol goals. Columns: Urawa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Urawa | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kashiwa Reysol or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Urawa) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win by 2+ | 30% | 3.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa recent form
Kashiwa Reysol
4W 1D 1L
Urawa
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kashiwa Reysol at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kashiwa Reysol at home only, Urawa away only.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kashiwa Reysol 0 · draws 1 · Urawa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2026-03-18 | Urawa | 1-1 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mito Hollyhock v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page 2026-10-31
- Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka 2026-10-31
- Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus 2026-10-31
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Kashiwa Reysol, previous: Kashima – Kashiwa Reysol, 2026-10-24
- Urawa, previous: Urawa – V-varen Nagasaki, 2026-10-25