Vissel Kobe vs Urawa preview
In the J1 League fixture between Vissel Kobe and Urawa, the model gives Vissel Kobe a 59% chance of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals stands at 61%, while both teams to score has a probability of 59%.
Vissel Kobe's recent form shows a mix of results with three wins in their last six matches, while Urawa has won four of their last six. This recent performance could challenge the expected outcomes, especially if Urawa maintains their winning momentum. The confidence grade of C indicates some uncertainty in the predictions.
Vissel Kobe vs Urawa: model vs market
| Source | Vissel Kobe | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Published | 48% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.08.
- The market prices Vissel Kobe below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vissel Kobe vs Urawa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vissel Kobe, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.99 | 2.15 | +0.16 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Urawa | 3.50 | 3.20 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vissel Kobe and Urawa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (Vissel Kobe / Urawa)
- 1.14 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Vissel Kobe / Urawa)
- 0.74 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vissel Kobe vs Urawa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vissel Kobe goals. Columns: Urawa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vissel Kobe vs Urawa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vissel Kobe vs Urawa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Urawa | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vissel Kobe or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Urawa) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win by 2+ | 37% | 2.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vissel Kobe and Urawa recent form
Vissel Kobe
3W 1D 2L
Urawa
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vissel Kobe at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Urawa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vissel Kobe at home only, Urawa away only.
Vissel Kobe vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Vissel Kobe 3 · draws 4 · Urawa 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Urawa | 1-0 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2025-02-15 | Vissel Kobe | 0-0 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2024-09-28 | Vissel Kobe | 1-0 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2024-06-01 | Urawa | 1-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2023-11-12 | Urawa | 1-2 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2023-03-11 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2022-06-26 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2022-02-23 | Urawa | 2-2 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2021-10-02 | Vissel Kobe | 5-1 | Urawa | J1 League |
| 2021-06-13 | Urawa | 2-2 | Vissel Kobe | J-League Cup |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Kashiwa Reysol v Kawasaki Frontale — match page 2026-11-07
- Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats 2026-11-08
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Before and after this match
- Vissel Kobe, previous: Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus: odds and pick
- Urawa, previous: Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa analysis