Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale preview
In the J1 League fixture between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale, the 1X2 probabilities show Kawasaki Frontale at 41% and Yokohama F. Marinos at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Yokohama F. Marinos recording four draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Kawasaki Frontale has three wins, one loss, and two draws.
The expected goals are close, with Yokohama F. Marinos at 1.36 and Kawasaki Frontale at 1.29. There is a 49% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unpredictability could affect the outcome.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale: model vs market
| Source | Yokohama F. Marinos | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Published | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kawasaki Frontale, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 3.00 | 3.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.72 | +0.00 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Yokohama F. Marinos / Kawasaki Frontale)
- 0.96 / 1.40
- Defence rating (Yokohama F. Marinos / Kawasaki Frontale)
- 0.70 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Yokohama F. Marinos goals. Columns: Kawasaki Frontale goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Yokohama F. Marinos or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Kawasaki Frontale) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win by 2+ | 15% | 6.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale recent form
Yokohama F. Marinos
2W 4D 0L
Kawasaki Frontale
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Yokohama F. Marinos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kawasaki Frontale away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Yokohama F. Marinos at home only, Kawasaki Frontale away only.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Yokohama F. Marinos 1 · draws 0 · Kawasaki Frontale 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1-2 | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| 2026-03-22 | Kawasaki Frontale | 0-5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Mito Hollyhock v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page 2026-10-31
- Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka 2026-10-31
- Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus 2026-10-31
- Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa — match page 2026-10-31
- JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy — match page 2026-11-01
- Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Yokohama F. Marinos, previous: Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos: odds and pick
- Kawasaki Frontale, previous: Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama analysis