Bandari vs 3K preview
In the match between Bandari and 3K, the 1X2 probabilities show Bandari at 28%, a draw at 34%, and 3K at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance, indicating that 3K may edge this encounter.
Bandari has an expected goals figure of 0.85, while 3K sits at 1.04, suggesting that 3K could capitalize on their chances. With a 29% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, the match could still see more action than anticipated. However, Bandari's recent form of D-L-W-L-D-D might hinder their performance against a team that has shown resilience.
Bandari vs 3K: model vs market
| Source | Bandari | Draw | 3K |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 34% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 34% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bandari and 3K expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.89
- Attack rating (Bandari / 3K)
- 0.71 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Bandari / 3K)
- 0.90 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bandari vs 3K score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bandari goals. Columns: 3K goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bandari vs 3K goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bandari vs 3K
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandari | 28% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.91 | |
| 3K | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.61 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bandari or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or 3K) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | 3K win by 2+ | 16% | 6.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bandari and 3K recent form
Bandari
1W 3D 2L
3K
0W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
- KCB vs Mathare United — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- APS Bomet v GOR Mahia — match page 2026-10-17
- Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars 2026-10-18
- Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC 2026-10-18
- Shabana v Nairobi United — match page 2026-10-18
- Mara Sugar vs Mombasa Elite — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Police vs AFC Leopards 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Bandari, previous: APS Bomet vs Bandari: odds and pick
- Bandari, next: Bandari vs Murang'a SEAL prediction
- 3K, previous: 3K v GOR Mahia analysis
- 3K, next: KCB v 3K analysis