KCB vs 3K Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

KCB vs 3K preview

In the match between KCB and 3K, the 1X2 probabilities show KCB at 41%, while 3K sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. KCB has an expected goals figure of 1.44 compared to 3K's 1.22, suggesting KCB may have the edge in attack.

However, the recent form indicates KCB has mixed results with a record of W-D-W-W-L-D, while 3K has only managed a draw in their last match. This could affect the outcome, as both teams to score stands at 55%. If 3K improves their performance, the predictions could change.

KCB vs 3K: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	KCB	Draw	3K
Model	41%	28%	31%
Market	—	—	—
Published	41%	28%	31%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

KCB and 3K expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.44KCB

1.223K

Total expected goals: 2.66
Attack rating (KCB / 3K): 1.21 / 1.17
Defence rating (KCB / 3K): 1.06 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KCB vs 3K score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 1 8.8% 13.5% 7.5% 3.1% 1.2% 2 7.2% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.9% 3 3.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: KCB goals. Columns: 3K goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KCB vs 3K goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 55%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for KCB vs 3K

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	KCB	41%	2.45
	Draw	28%	3.53
	3K	31%	3.24
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.01
	Under 2.5	50%	1.99
Both teams to score	Yes	55%	1.82
	No	45%	2.23
Double chance	1X (KCB or draw)	69%	1.45
	12 (either side)	72%	1.39
	X2 (draw or 3K)	59%	1.69
Handicap -1	KCB win by 2+	20%	4.96
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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