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Kenyan Premier League · Matchday 5

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K

Alin prediction Posta Rangers FC to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Posta Rangers FCDraw3K
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K preview

In the match between Posta Rangers FC and 3K, the 1X2 probabilities show Posta Rangers FC at 36%, while 3K is at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a fairly balanced attacking potential, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 44%.

Posta Rangers FC's recent form includes a mix of results with D-W-L-L-L-W, while 3K has L-W-D-D. The expected goals are close, with Posta Rangers FC at 1.22 and 3K at 1.20. A low-scoring game could occur if the teams' recent performances continue, potentially affecting the outcome.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePosta Rangers FCDraw3K
Model36%30%34%
Market———
Published36%30%34%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Posta Rangers FC and 3K expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.22Posta Rangers FC
1.203K
Total expected goals
2.42
Attack rating (Posta Rangers FC / 3K)
0.87 / 1.08
Defence rating (Posta Rangers FC / 3K)
1.15 / 1.36

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.2% 9.4% 6.4% 2.5% 1.0% 1 9.6% 14.3% 7.8% 3.1% 1.2% 2 6.6% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7% 3 2.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Posta Rangers FC goals. Columns: 3K goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Posta Rangers FC vs 3K goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
51%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Posta Rangers FC vs 3K

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Posta Rangers FC36%2.81
Draw30%3.32
3K34%2.91
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.30
Under 2.556%1.77
Both teams to scoreYes51%1.98
No49%2.02
Double chance1X (Posta Rangers FC or draw)66%1.52
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or 3K)64%1.55
Handicap -1Posta Rangers FC win by 2+16%6.33
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Posta Rangers FC and 3K recent form

Posta Rangers FC 2W 1D 3L
3K 1W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Posta Rangers FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

3K away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Posta Rangers FC at home only, 3K away only.

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Posta Rangers FC to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Posta Rangers FC