Posta Rangers FC vs KCB preview
In the match between Posta Rangers FC and KCB, the 1X2 probabilities show KCB at 51%, while Posta Rangers FC sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with KCB's expected goals of 1.66 compared to Posta Rangers FC's 1.02.
However, the recent form indicates Posta Rangers FC has struggled with three consecutive losses, while KCB has a more stable performance with three wins in their last five matches. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 53%, suggesting a possibility for goals from both sides, despite KCB's stronger position in the match.
Posta Rangers FC vs KCB: model vs market
| Source | Posta Rangers FC | Draw | KCB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Posta Rangers FC and KCB expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Posta Rangers FC / KCB)
- 0.93 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Posta Rangers FC / KCB)
- 1.39 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Posta Rangers FC vs KCB score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Posta Rangers FC goals. Columns: KCB goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Posta Rangers FC vs KCB goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Posta Rangers FC vs KCB
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Posta Rangers FC | 22% | 4.54 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | |
| KCB | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Posta Rangers FC or draw) | 49% | 2.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or KCB) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | KCB win by 2+ | 28% | 3.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Posta Rangers FC and KCB recent form
Posta Rangers FC
2W 1D 3L
KCB
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Posta Rangers FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
KCB away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Posta Rangers FC at home only, KCB away only.
Posta Rangers FC vs KCB head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Posta Rangers FC 2 · draws 4 · KCB 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | KCB | 0-1 | Posta Rangers FC | Kenyan Premier League |
| 2026-01-20 | Posta Rangers FC | 0-1 | KCB | Kenyan Premier League |
| 2025-03-01 | KCB | 1-2 | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Posta Rangers FC | 0-3 | KCB | FKF Premier League |
| 2024-06-15 | KCB | 0-0 | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| 2023-11-05 | Posta Rangers FC | 0-0 | KCB | FKF Premier League |
| 2023-05-07 | Posta Rangers FC | 0-1 | KCB | FKF Premier League |
| 2023-01-25 | KCB | 1-1 | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| 2022-01-23 | KCB | 2-1 | Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| 2022-01-19 | Posta Rangers FC | 1-1 | KCB | FKF Premier League |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Migori Youth v Mathare United — match page 2026-10-24
- Nairobi United vs APS Bomet 2026-10-24
- Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- GOR Mahia vs Bandari 2026-10-24
- 3K v Murang'a SEAL — match page 2026-10-25
- Mombasa Elite vs Police — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- AFC Leopards v Shabana — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Posta Rangers FC, previous: Murang'a SEAL vs Posta Rangers FC prediction
- Posta Rangers FC, next: Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia: odds and pick
- KCB, previous: KCB vs Mathare United prediction
- KCB, next: KCB v 3K analysis