Atletico San Luis vs Atlas preview
Atletico San Luis faces Atlas with a 51% chance of winning compared to Atlas's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.02 for Atletico San Luis and 1.39 for Atlas. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 66%, indicating a strong possibility of an open match.
However, the recent form shows Atletico San Luis with three wins in their last five matches, while Atlas has only two wins in the same period. This discrepancy in form could affect the outcome, as Atlas has struggled recently with a record of L-W-D-W-D-L. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas: model vs market
| Source | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Atlas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 23% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atletico San Luis and Atlas expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.41
- Attack rating (Atletico San Luis / Atlas)
- 0.97 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Atletico San Luis / Atlas)
- 1.04 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atletico San Luis goals. Columns: Atlas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Atlas | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| No | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atletico San Luis or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Atlas) | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico San Luis win by 2+ | 31% | 3.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atletico San Luis and Atlas recent form
Atletico San Luis
4W 1D 1L
Atlas
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico San Luis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Atlas away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico San Luis at home only, Atlas away only.
Atletico San Luis vs Atlas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Atletico San Luis 1 · draws 0 · Atlas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Atlas | 3-2 | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| 2025-10-18 | Atletico San Luis | 2-0 | Atlas | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
- FC Juarez v Club Queretaro — match page 2026-10-31
- Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Atletico San Luis, previous: Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis prediction
- Atlas, previous: Atlas vs Puebla prediction