Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview
Puebla faces U.N.A.M. - Pumas with a 37% chance of winning compared to 34% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has an 8% probability. Both teams to score stands at 56%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides.
Puebla's recent form shows 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas has 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the same period. The expected goals are close, with Puebla at 1.38 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 1.31. If Puebla's struggles continue, or if U.N.A.M. - Pumas finds their rhythm, the predictions could change.
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: model vs market
| Source | Puebla | Draw | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Puebla and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Puebla / U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
- 0.71 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Puebla / U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
- 1.12 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Puebla goals. Columns: U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puebla | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Puebla or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puebla win by 2+ | 18% | 5.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Puebla and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form
Puebla
0W 3D 3L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Puebla at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Puebla at home only, U.N.A.M. - Pumas away only.
Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Puebla 0 · draws 1 · U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Puebla | 2-3 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2025-08-24 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0-0 | Puebla | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
- FC Juarez v Club Queretaro — match page 2026-10-31
- Atletico San Luis vs Atlas — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Puebla, previous: Atlas vs Puebla prediction
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas, previous: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL: odds and pick