U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America preview
In the Liga MX fixture between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club America, the 1X2 probabilities show Club America at 44%, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both have a strong probability of 71%, indicating a potential for an exciting match.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas has an expected goals figure of 1.67, while Club America is at 2.00. Recent form shows U.N.A.M. - Pumas with a record of W-D-L-W-D-L, and Club America at D-D-L-W-W-D. With a confidence grade of C, unexpected outcomes could arise from either team's performance on the day.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America: model vs market
| Source | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Draw | Club America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.67.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club America, 13 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3.10 | 2.93 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.54 | -0.01 |
| Club America | 2.12 | 2.20 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club America expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.68
- Attack rating (U.N.A.M. - Pumas / Club America)
- 0.89 / 1.45
- Defence rating (U.N.A.M. - Pumas / Club America)
- 1.09 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals. Columns: Club America goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Club America | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Club America) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Club America recent form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2W 2D 2L
Club America
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-2
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club America away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.9 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home only, Club America away only.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4 · draws 3 · Club America 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3-3 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 2026-05-03 | Club America | 3-3 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2026-03-22 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1-0 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 2025-09-28 | Club America | 4-1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2025-02-23 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0-2 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 2024-09-30 | Club America | 0-1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2024-04-21 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 2-1 | Club America | Liga MX |
| 2023-10-01 | Club America | 1-0 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2023-04-23 | Club America | 1-1 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| 2022-12-24 | Club America | 0-2 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Copa por México |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
- Necaxa v Club Tijuana — match page 2026-11-07
- Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna 2026-11-07
- Atlas vs CF Pachuca — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul — match page 2026-11-08
- Toluca vs Monterrey 2026-11-08
- Club Queretaro vs Puebla — team news & stats 2026-11-09
- Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas, previous: Puebla v U.N.A.M. - Pumas analysis
- Club America, previous: Club America v Toluca analysis