FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro preview
In the Liga MX fixture between FC Juarez and Club Queretaro, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Queretaro at 44%, while FC Juarez is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 10% of the time according to our model. FC Juarez's recent form includes 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Club Queretaro has won 3 of their last 5.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a decent chance that both sides will find the net. However, FC Juarez's expected goals are 1.11, which is lower than Club Queretaro's 1.45. If FC Juarez fails to improve their scoring, it could affect the outcome of the match.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro: model vs market
| Source | FC Juarez | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 29% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Juarez and Club Queretaro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.56
- Attack rating (FC Juarez / Club Queretaro)
- 0.66 / 0.84
- Defence rating (FC Juarez / Club Queretaro)
- 1.36 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Juarez goals. Columns: Club Queretaro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Club Queretaro | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Juarez or draw) | 56% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Club Queretaro) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win by 2+ | 22% | 4.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Juarez and Club Queretaro recent form
FC Juarez
1W 2D 3L
Club Queretaro
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Juarez at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Queretaro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Juarez at home only, Club Queretaro away only.
FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Juarez 0 · draws 1 · Club Queretaro 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Club Queretaro | 1-1 | FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| 2025-11-08 | FC Juarez | 1-2 | Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
- Atletico San Luis vs Atlas — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- FC Juarez, previous: Necaxa vs FC Juarez: odds and pick
- Club Queretaro, previous: Club Queretaro v Cruz Azul analysis