FC OSS vs Roda preview
In the Eerste Divisie fixture, FC OSS faces Roda with 42% probability for a home win, while Roda has a 31% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.51 for FC OSS and 1.26 for Roda.
Both teams to score has a 57% likelihood, and there is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, FC OSS's recent form shows inconsistency with D-L-W-D-L-W, while Roda is on a strong run with L-W-W-W-W-D. This form could impact the outcome, making the prediction less certain.
FC OSS vs Roda: model vs market
| Source | FC OSS | Draw | Roda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC OSS and Roda expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (FC OSS / Roda)
- 0.96 / 0.87
- Defence rating (FC OSS / Roda)
- 0.97 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC OSS vs Roda score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC OSS goals. Columns: Roda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC OSS vs Roda goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC OSS vs Roda
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Roda | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC OSS or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Roda) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC OSS win by 2+ | 21% | 4.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC OSS and Roda recent form
FC OSS
2W 2D 2L
Roda
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC OSS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Roda away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC OSS at home only, Roda away only.
FC OSS vs Roda head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC OSS 1 · draws 0 · Roda 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Roda | 1-2 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| 2025-09-26 | FC OSS | 1-2 | Roda | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- De Graafschap v MVV — match page 2026-11-20
- Vitesse vs Jong AZ — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Heracles vs Jong PSV U21 2026-11-20
- FC Volendam v Jong Ajax — match page 2026-11-20
- Almere City FC vs NAC Breda — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 2026-11-20
- Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Jong Utrecht vs Emmen 2026-11-20
Before and after this match
- FC OSS, previous: De Graafschap v FC OSS analysis
- FC OSS, next: GO Ahead Eagles v FC OSS analysis
- Roda, previous: Roda – FC Volendam, 2026-11-14
- Roda, next: Roda – RKAV Volendam, 2026-12-03