Jong Utrecht vs Emmen preview
In the fixture between Jong Utrecht and Emmen, the 1X2 probabilities show Jong Utrecht at 39% and Emmen at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.91 for Jong Utrecht and 1.89 for Emmen. Additionally, there is a 73% chance for Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Jong Utrecht's recent form features 1 draw and 5 losses, while Emmen has 4 wins in their last 6 matches. This disparity in form could influence the outcome. However, Emmen has a strong head-to-head record, winning both of their last encounters against Jong Utrecht.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen: model vs market
| Source | Jong Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Jong Utrecht and Emmen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.81
- Attack rating (Jong Utrecht / Emmen)
- 1.06 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Jong Utrecht / Emmen)
- 1.31 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Jong Utrecht goals. Columns: Emmen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Jong Utrecht vs Emmen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Emmen | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Jong Utrecht or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Emmen) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Jong Utrecht win by 2+ | 21% | 4.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Jong Utrecht and Emmen recent form
Jong Utrecht
1W 1D 4L
Emmen
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Jong Utrecht at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 2.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Emmen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Jong Utrecht at home only, Emmen away only.
Jong Utrecht vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Jong Utrecht 0 · draws 0 · Emmen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Emmen | 1-0 | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 2025-11-07 | Jong Utrecht | 1-2 | Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- De Graafschap v MVV — match page 2026-11-20
- Vitesse vs Jong AZ — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Heracles vs Jong PSV U21 2026-11-20
- FC Volendam v Jong Ajax — match page 2026-11-20
- Almere City FC vs NAC Breda — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo 2026-11-20
- FC OSS v Roda — match page 2026-11-20
- Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht — team news & stats 2026-11-20
Before and after this match
- Jong Utrecht, previous: Den Bosch v Jong Utrecht analysis
- Emmen, previous: NAC Breda – Emmen, 2026-11-14
- Emmen, next: Emmen vs Utrecht: odds and pick