Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków preview
In the Ekstraklasa fixture between Slask Wroclaw and Wieczysta Kraków, the 1X2 probabilities show Slask Wroclaw at 35%, a draw at 25%, and Wieczysta Kraków at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both have a 70% probability according to our model, suggesting an attacking match.
Slask Wroclaw's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses followed by 1 win, while Wieczysta Kraków has 2 losses, 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The expected goals are 1.94 for Slask Wroclaw and 1.66 for Wieczysta Kraków. If Slask Wroclaw can improve their form, it could change the dynamics of the match.
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków: model vs market
| Source | Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Published | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wieczysta Kraków, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.91 | 2.88 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.65 | -0.01 |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.17 | 2.16 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slask Wroclaw and Wieczysta Kraków expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.59
- Attack rating (Slask Wroclaw / Wieczysta Kraków)
- 0.99 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Slask Wroclaw / Wieczysta Kraków)
- 1.34 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slask Wroclaw goals. Columns: Wieczysta Kraków goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slask Wroclaw | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slask Wroclaw or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Wieczysta Kraków) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wieczysta Kraków win by 2+ | 16% | 6.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slask Wroclaw and Wieczysta Kraków recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slask Wroclaw at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wieczysta Kraków away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slask Wroclaw at home only, Wieczysta Kraków away only.
Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Kraków head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Slask Wroclaw 0 · draws 2 · Wieczysta Kraków 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Wieczysta Kraków | 3-3 | Slask Wroclaw | I Liga |
| 2025-07-18 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-1 | Wieczysta Kraków | I Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze — match page 2026-10-23
- Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow 2026-10-24
- Korona Kielce v GKS Katowice — match page 2026-10-24
- Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Wisla Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock 2026-10-25
- Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Slask Wroclaw, previous: Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw: odds and pick
- Slask Wroclaw, next: Odra Opole – Slask Wroclaw, 2026-10-29
- Wieczysta Kraków, previous: Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa prediction